Hi My Tipsters,
This weekend we’ve another busy day of action with the C4 cameras heading to Haydock Park, Ascot and Kempton Park to take in 8 races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup at Haydock is the feature contest on the day as the classy Limato looks to add this top sprint to his already impressive haul of races this season – plenty or winners for us last week, including the Beverley Bullet winner ALPHA DELPHINI (1st 13/2). As always we’ve all the key trends for the main race (Sprint Cup), plus our verdict – not to mention the best of the rest of the TV racing.
Who’ll Be The Sprint King at Haydock? ……………
4.30 – 32Red Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) CH4
12/14 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
12/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Rated 111 or higher
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/14 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/14 –Had 4 or more runs that season
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Ran at Deauville (3) or York (5) last time out
7/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/14 – Had run at Haydock before (2 had won)
4/14 – Had won a Group 1 before
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Placed horse from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 10/1
VERDICT: The showcase race of the weekend and a real ‘must-see’ renewal of one of the sprinting highlights of the season – 17 top sprinters heading to post.
The pre-race market has been dominated by one horse really – the Henry Candy’s star speedster, LIMATO, and after winning the July Cup and being runner-up in the Nunthorpe Stakes most-recently then he’s certainly the one to beat. That most recent outing was over 5f – a trip he was attempting for the first time – so the step back up to 6f is a huge positive – he’s won six times over this distance. Drawn in 14, and also being a 4 year-old, then he’s also got those two key stats in his profile, while with 11 of the last 14 winners failing to win last time out then don’t be worried that the market leader comes here off the back of a recent defeat. He’s also the top-rated horse in the race, plus the stable won this in 2010 and 2015 – he’s the clear one to beat.
Looking at the others, the 3 year-old Quiet Reflection also enters calculations with 50% of the last 8 winners being this age, while she also gets 5lbs from Limato. That said, she does have 2 ¼ lengths to find with that horse on her third in the July Cup and is actually 4lbs worse off this time as she received 9lbs that day. Irish raider, Gordon Lord Byron, is a previous winner of the race (2013), but at 8 years-old is getting a bit long in the tooth now, so the best of the rest looks to be the improving trio of Dancing Star, Magical Memory and The Tin Man – all of which have decent claims based on previous runs this season.
Other TV Races
3.00 – CONVEY
3.30 – SHAKOPEE (e/w)
4.00 – LIGHTSCAMERACTION (e/w)
2.40 – BOBBY WHEELER (e/w)
3.10 – REAL DOMINION (e/w)
3.45 – SKY HUNTER
4.15 – JACK OF DIAMONDS (e/w)