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Apr 04 2020 @ 12:42
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 3 years, 11 months ago · updated 3 years, 11 months ago
VIRTUAL GRAND NATIONAL – From 5pm on ITV
My Shortlist
TIGER ROLL (Place)
ANY SECOND NOW 10/1
DEFINITLY RED 14/1
WALK IN THE MILL 16/1
ELEGANT ESCAPE 20/1
ANIBALE FLY 20/1The Most Credible result
TIGER ROLL finishing placed
Just as he was in this last year
But probably an unlikely winnerGuessing the main selection
Strongly feel the winner
Will come from a fancied few
That start under 25/1 for the raceANY SECOND NOW could win
Feel he is a legitimate choice
But at 10/1 he is a bit too shortDEFINITLY RED might win
He is the oldest shortlistedWALK IN THE MILL 16/1
Bottomweight could help
May show up well in the dataANIBALE FLY is creditable
Watch the 2019 Virtual National
He was staying on well into 4thNo Betfair Markets
This means a place only bet is out
TIGER ROLL in a split stake bet
Will not be a bet we can now haveOne Option
Betting 2 horses each way
Only 1 horse needs to be 1-2-3-4-5
To recover all of our StakesDEFINITLY RED was in this bet
WALK IN THE MILL was in this betBut why bother
Staking a cautious protective betMaybe we should be more aggressive
No other chance of doing that right now
So going with a win single and 2 saversDEFINITLY RED is that win single
Would not fancy him in the real race
But he feels “algorithm positive”When you factor in
a) Ground
b) Course form
c) Good recent form
d) Weight
e) AgeFinal Selection
£8.00 Win Bet DEFINITLY RED 14/1
£1.00 Win Bet WALK IN THE MILL 16/1
£1.00 Win Bet ANIBALE FLY 20/1
Got the 2nd and the 3rd lol