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Dec 01 2020 @ 13:10
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 3 years, 3 months ago
Ante Post
Sandown December 5th
Tingle Creek Chase
5/6 Altior 9/2 Greaneteen 5/1 Politologue
7/1 Rouge Vif 16/1 First Flow 20/1 Brewinupastorm
33/1 Castlegrace Paddy 33/1 Esprit Du LargeEntry Stage
Down to 8 runners
Did this race two weeks ago
One of the statistics I usedGrade 1 Chases
Run short of 3 miles
Since 2006
No horse aged 9 or more
Absent more than 95 days
Have a 0-49 record in them
ALTIOR fails this 0-49 statistic
POLITOLOGUE fails this tooShortlisted 2 horses
ROUGE VIF 7/1
GRENATEEN 4/1GRENATEEN was my preference
He has won the Haldon Gold Cup
Several his age have done that
And he had the stronger stableROUGE VIF is still a positive too
And a horse I would want on sideNow you would think
Before the final declarations
Today is the right day
To have an each way bet
What’s Not to like ?
Plenty
The Cartel has clearly met
Almost every relevant firm
Is offering only 1-2 places !You can criticise that
You can understand that
Either way it’s a waste of time
It is what it is and that is thatDo I want to oppose Altior ?
With just 2 places on my side
Certainly not on the accountGrenateen is only rated 158
Thats 14lbs lower than Altior
And they meet at level weightsWill have a relook Saturday
See if anything new develops