4.00 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4
14/14 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
13/14 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/14 – Won between 2-3 times previously
12/14 – Won over 6f previously
12/14 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/14 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/14 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/14 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
9/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/14 – Winning Favourites
Golden Apollo (4/1) won the race in 2017
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
TQ VERDICT:A tricky race. The Nigel Tinkler yard is going great guns at present with a 26% strike-rate with their runners so their ROUNDHAY PARK looks interesting. He was an excellent third at Newmarket last time out in a decent 20-runner handicap and gets in here off the same mark. He’s won 4 of his 11 career starts and only been out of the first three four times.
This will be his first run at the track but there is no reason to think it won’t suit. He did finish 4 lengths behind another runner – SHAHEEN – back in June so this John Quinn runner is also sure to be popular. He’s since progressed by running a close second at HQ and winning at Windsor earlier this month. He’s only been out of the first three once from 11 starts on the turf and a 3lb rise for the latest of his wins looks fair enough. He’s a horse that knows how to get the job done with 5 wins, plus the Quinn yard are operating at a decent 28% strike-rate at the time of writing. George Of Hearts was a fair 9th in the Britannia Stakes here in June and is certainly a big player but might not be much value.
The Haggas runner – Ertiyad – can’t be overlooked coming from this powerful yard but will need to put a few poor runs behind it. Finally, Clive Cox (2 from 44), Richard Hannon (6 from 133) and Mick Channon (1 from 25) have poor records with their 3 year-olds at the track so their Snazzy Jazzy, Tangled and Helvetian have these stats to overcome.