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Feb 09 2020 @ 20:31
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 4 years, 1 month ago
Cheltenham Gold Cup
Betfair Prices
9/2 Al Boum Photo 5/1 Santini
11/2 Delta Work 8/1 Lostintranslation 9/1 Kemboy
11/1 Clan Des Obeaux 14/1 Presenting Percy
14/1 Native River 25/1 Monalee 40/1 Bristol De Mai
40/1 Chris’s Dream 100/1 BarNot too long to go now
People enjoying the usual chatter
Which horse wins the Blue RibandMost of these horses
You can make a strong case form
You can also rip them all apart too
The arguments go round in circlesThere is no right answer
To some of the bigger dilemmas
Such as will certain horses stay
How will some recover from prep runsMy take is this
There are only 11 horses
Who are under 100/1 now
NATIVE RIVER is a 10yo
All 78 his age were beaten since 1999Several have breeding issues
And are not guaranteed stayersCLAN DES OBEAUX
Horses sired by Kapgarde
Running in Listed and Graded races
Racing over 3m 1f and more
Have a 0-20 record so farDELTA WORK
Massive chance on form
I can understand why people like him
But nobody is questioning his staminaHorses sired by Network
Running over 3m 1f or more
Running in Graded races
Have a 0-27 record so farCHRIS’S DREAM is only rated 146
Looks to plenty too much to findBRISTOL DE MAI is a 40/1 chance
Surely he is not going to win thisPRESENTING PERCY has his fans
But are becoming fewer and fewer
Not many would have him first choiceSANTINI
Winning plenty over
But still has his critics
Ruby Walsh one of the latest
A little inexperienced with 9 races
Recent winners had these career runs
12 20 16 26 9 15 11 18 17 15 30 13 20
What worries me about him most
He has just had a very hard race
Winning a Cotswold Chase on soft
That hasn’t been a good trial race
Can we be sure he will recover ?KEMBOY
Unseated at the 1st in last years race
Probably going to end up Mullins no 2LOSTINTRANSLATION
Flopped in the King George
Trying to repair his reputation now
Could easily win just as easily loseAL BOUM PHOTO
Won last year
Wouldn’t be a shock if he wonMONALEE
Don’t see why he can’t win
One of the lower rated horses
From the 11 horses that can winHe has strong festival form
Most people would say
He doesn’t get the trip well
His pedigree looks fine to meYou can argue some are better
Maybe that is true at this stage
But he has only had 12 chase runs
Every chance he can improve moreDeliberately missed all the trials
That could work in his favour here
5 recent winners were like him
Horses aged 9 with 2-3 months offCareer best figures last time
Racing Post Rating of 170 there
That should give him a big chance
When so many have question marksSelection
MONALEE 25/1
£6 Win Bet
£2 Place Bet
25/1 Non runner no bet
Bet365 Ladbrokes Corals Sportingbet20/1 Non runner no bet
Skybet BoylesAlso available No Run guaranteed
28/1 Unibet
25/1 Betfair Hills