-
May 28 2018 @ 10:52
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 5 years, 10 months ago · updated 5 years, 10 months ago
HUNTINGDON 1.30
6/4 Fifty Shades,
3/1 Sweet’N’Chic, 4/1 Ilewindelilah,
5/1 Some Finish, 13/2 Sheelbewhatsheelbe,
25/1 Ruaraidh Hugh, 50/1 Grand Gigolo.3m 1f Handicap Hurdle
A race full of bad horses
With hopefully one blossomingFIFTY SHADES has just won a chase
This may be a hurdle and over further
But his momentum could be too strongFIFTY SHADES is in a very good place
His trainer has not had him long
Christian Williams has improved him
And got him fit and able to win last time
He won a 2m 4f Chase last time out
Now he runs in a 3m 1f handicap hurdleStatistically very difficult to predict
Obvious concerns about this
A lot of known unknowns as well
Given he best form in over fences
All that is true and I could oppose him
But he has hit form and has poor rivalsFIFTY SHADES has some momentum
He won with a lot in hand last time
And he must be well treated off just 86
The opposition are not short of problems
SOME FINISH has also been chasing
He’s not ran in a hurdle race in 15 monthsLOVE THE LEADER is a 10yo off 179 days
ILEWINDELILAH a 10yo mare absent 204 days
SWEETNCHIC is an 8yo Mare
She has a 0-16 career record
Her Career best R.Post Rating just 86
That exposes her as very modestIt may not be about the opposition
FIFTY SHADES is either on a journey
Where he will improve past this poor lot
Or he may not want a return to hurdling
For me though he is worth staying with
Because he could just be thrown in
He could just be blossoming right now
And he is 3 years younger than the othersRUARAUDH HUGH is the danger
He is topweight
Hard to fancy on recent form
But the 2nd topweight is a non runner
Allowing him as a 100 rated horse
To take on only a 0-89 rated field
He is the saver if you want oneSelection
FIFTY SHADES 11/8
Win Bet
Beaten a whisker. Was trading as fav in the photo finish, Jockey gave it too much to do, should have won