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Antepost Statistics for the Cambridgeshire Handicap

This topic contains 0 replies, has 1 voice, and was last updated by Profile photo of Mathematician Betting Mathematician Betting 4 years, 2 months ago.

Antepost Statistics for the Cambridgeshire Handicap

  • Profile photo of Mathematician Betting

    Newmarket 3.50, Saturday 28th September

    Betfred Cambridgeshire
    (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+)

    Ascription (12), Top Notch Tonto (12), Chancery (16)
    Educate (16), Haafaguinea (16) Queensberry Rules (16),
    Graphic (16), Short Squeeze (16), Bronze Angel (20)
    Chapter Seven (20), Gabrial The Great (20), Morpheus (20)
    Nine Realms (20), Belgian Bill (25), Breden (25)
    Dance And Dance (25), Danchai (25), Forgive (25)
    Fury (25), Jacks Revenge (25)

    * The Cambridgeshire is a Handicap over 9f
    * No horse has won this with under 5 career starts
    * Look at the results of horses that had 1-2-3-4 runs
    * 5 30 26 29 18 6 33 16 11 20 28 18 10 22
    * 5th and 6th place is the best any achieved

    * Past winners with over 20 career starts are 7-266
    * They all had at least 4 runs that season
    * None of these were aged 7 or more
    * They were all Male and ran within 42 days
    * Those beaten 6 + lengths last time out were 0-124
    * None had more than 9st 2lbs weight

    * Look for a horse from a Grade 1 Track
    * The Last 23 winners came from these Grade 1 Tracks
    * Ascot (5) Doncaster (7) Goodwood (1)
    * Newbury (5) Newmarket (1) Sandown (1) York (3)
    * Over 180 horses came from Smaller non Grade 1 tracks
    * All 180 of these horses were beaten
    * Avoid horses coming from Listed or Group class
    * None have won this race in decades
    * Horses with 9st 6lbs or more have struggled
    * Only 1 winner managed that since 1986
    * You want a horse with Class 2 form
    * Only 1 winner in 22 years lacked Class 2 form
    * That was Halling 1994 a 3yo with only 5 previous runs

    * Horses aged 3 have a 6-187 record
    * These 6 winners had 10 5 12 11 5 5 runs
    * They had 4 5 6 8 5 5 races that season
    * They were absent 100 65 14 22 44 21 days
    * None had form in Listed or Group Races before
    * 5 of them had Class 2 form the other Class 3 form
    * The 3yo winners won from ratings of 95 90 102 97 107 93
    * There were 3 winners unraced as 2yo’s with 5 runs as 3yo’s

    * Horses aged 4 have a 8-258 record
    * Past 4yo winners had 8 7 10 12 5 10 22 20 runs
    * Past 4yo winners had 6 4 0 5 1 1 9 6 races that season
    * Past 4yo winners were absent 14 14 342 56 190 84 22 7 days
    * 4yo winners came in many different forms
    * They did all have Class 2 form but no higher though
    * Those that ran in Listed or Group races before were 0-84
    * 4yo winners won from ratings of 102 99 87 99 92 91 85 84

    * Horses aged 5 have a 2-134 record
    * They were 0-112 until winning in 2010-2011
    * Horses aged 5 that win had 21 and 26 career starts
    * They had 5 and 7 runs that season
    * They won with absences of 2 and 16 days
    * They won from marks of 91 and 87

    * Horses aged 6 had a 5-81 record
    * Thats the best strike rate of any age
    * All 5 finished within 6 lengths of the winner last time
    * Past 6yo winners had 23 26 46 13 21 runs
    * Past 6yo winners had 4 7 8 8 7 races that season
    * Past 6yo winners were absent 42 14 7 13 21 days
    * They did all have Class 2 form but no higher though
    * 6yo winners won from ratings of 100 95 88 78 92

    * Horses aged 7 or more are 1-65 since 1991
    * That was back in 1992 and just 1 has won since 1980

    * Few winners come from any conditions races
    * No winner dropped from 12f in the last 23 years
    * No winner of this race came from Class 4 or lower
    * Female horses won 3 renewals since 1987
    * All 3 had between 5-20 runs and aged 4 or more
    * They all carried 8st 8lbs or less
    * I looked at winners that were absent a month or more
    * They tended to have under 13 career starts
    * Horses beaten more than 6 lengths last time are awful
    * Only 1 of the last 23 winners came here beaten that far

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