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Apr 11 2014 @ 11:54
Horse Race Report posted an update in the group Horse Racing 10 years ago · updated 10 years ago
Spring Cup (4yo+) Course – Newbury, Distance – 1 mile
Date – 12th April
Average field size last 10 years – 23Positive Trends
Position LTO: Horses finishing 3rd to 8th LTO have provided 8 of the last 10 winners.
LTO Price: Horses priced 8/1 or shorter LTO have provided 7 of the last 10 winners.
Draw: Horses drawn 10 or higher have provided 9 of the last 10 winners.Negative Trends
Favourites (inc. joints): 1 win from 13 for a loss of £7.50 (ROI -57.7%).
Price: Horses priced 22/1 or bigger have provided just 1 winner from 101.
Draw: Horses drawn in single figures (1-9) have provided just 1 winner.
Position LTO: 0 wins from 31 for LTO winners.
Recent placed form: Horses that had failed to win or place in any of their last three runs have provided just 1 winner from 64 for a loss of £43.00 (ROI -67.2%).
Career place percentage: Horses with a career place percentage of 35% or lower have provided 0 winners from 67.
Distance change: Horses upped in trip have provided 0 winners from 40.
Career wins: Horses with 5 or more career wins have provided 0 winners from 52 runners.
Headgear (visor, cheekpieces, blinkers, etc): 0 wins from 26.General trends
Age: 4yos have won 7 races from 102 runners (SR 6.9%); 5yos and older have won 3 races from 127 (SR 2.4%).
Days since last run: Horses that had raced within the previous 30 days have provided 5 wins from 134 (SR 3.7%); horses that had been off the track 31 days or more have provided 5 wins from 93 (SR 5.4%).Key Bullet points – look for:
Drawn 10 or higher
Finished 3rd to 8th LTO
No headgear
Raced over 1 mile or further LTO
Career place percentage of 36% or moreIdeally look for:
7yos
LTO priced 8/1 or shorter
3.30 Newbury – best trends fit
Sweet Lightning
So Beloved