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Jan 10 2019 @ 13:17
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 5 years, 3 months ago
Southwell 3.00
3/1 Diamond Pursuit, 5/1 Alligator, 5/1 Jazz Legend, Pearl Acclaim, 7/1 Westfield Wonder, 12/1 Mountain Of Stars, Ticks The Boxes, 16/1 Blistering Dancer, 16/1 Dream Ally,
20/1 Juan Horsepower, 50/1 Luduamf.6f Handicap
DIAMOND PURSUIT is opposed
She is the only filly in this race
She was sold recently for just £2k
Didn’t impress much on her last runJAZZ LEGEND was in that race
He ran much better into 4th place
He may well have blown up that day
He had raced just once in 60 days
Might have gone off a bit too fast
I think he is as good as any hereALIGATOR looks a bit short of runs
Having raced once in 82 daysJAZZ LEGEND won last time
He has clearly had training problems
He also faces 32 days off the track
He’s raced just once in 60 daysTICK THE BOXES did not appeal
Running Mid – 30 Racing Post Ratings
Warning sign from a horrible stable
BLISTERING DANCER has low numbers
MOUNTAIN OF SCARS does as well
JUAN HORSEPOWER has a chance
But his last 2 runs a step backwardsWESTFIELD WONDER is just not safe
DREAM ALLY is 9 years old
He has had 3 run in 9 months
Starting 40/1 and more in all of them
Finishing in last last and second last
Positing low figures in doing that
Don’t see nearly enough positivesPEARL ACCLAIM is respected
But this may not be his best trip
Not sure he is safe enough drawn 10If you go back to 2016
Look at every races here over 6f
Horses drawn 9 or more won 8 races
Almost all of these were younger
Horses aged 5 or more
Drawn 9 of higher
Have a poor 1-111 record since 2016
PEARL ACCLAIM fails this draw angle
TICK THE BOXES fails this as wellNot easy to reply on any of these
JAZZ LEGEND has fewer negativesSelection
JAZZ LEGEND 9/2
Each Way