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Apr 26 2018 @ 18:09
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 5 years, 11 months ago
Saturdays Big Race
Bet365 Gold Cup
Sandown 3.35
Some Early Angles
The last 5 winners of this race
Had 12 9 11 10 8 career chase runs
Which illustrates this recent trendGraded Handicap Chases
Run since 2014
3m 4f or more
10 or more runners
40 of these races
36 of the 40 winners
Had under 20 Chase runsThose with 20 + Chase runs
Had a 4-157 record
Those absent over 32 days were 0-69
Those with 10st 12lbs or more were 0-63Horses aged 6 have struggled
They won just 1 of the last 59 renewals
Winning only in 2002 and 1958Go back to 2007
Horses with 11st 1lbs or more
Have a weak 1-60 record in this race
Only Tidal Bay won with 11st 12lbs
Since as far back as The Dikler 1974Past winners had the following runs
7 5 6 4 3 4 3 6 3 3 5 8 8 9 6 7
Every winner had at least 3 runs
I’d oppose horses with 0-1-2 runsThe most recent winners
Were absent the following days
20 39 19 46 56 16 7 45 45 46 7 22Horses with over 12 runs are best
None won with under 12 runs in years
Horses from the Grand National are 2091
Since 2005 they have a 0-48 record
Horses finishing the National were 0-27