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Mar 24 2018 @ 00:08
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 6 years ago
Ante Post Statistics
Saturday
Doncaster 3.35
32Red Lincoln 8f Class 2
4/1 Fire Brigade, 11/2 Addeybb, 6/1 Lord Glitters,
8/1 Big Country, 12/1 Leader Writer, 14/1 Mitchum Swagger,
14/1 Chelsea Lad, 14/1 Ballard Down, 14/1 Repercussion,
20/1 Withernsea, 20/1 Donncha, 20/1 Bravery, 25/1 Kings Gift,
25/1 Gabrial, 25/1 Dark Red, 25/1 Via Via, 25/1 Not So Sleepy,
25/1 Stamp Hill, 25/1 Dolphin Vista, 25/1 Grey Britain,
50/1 London Protocol, 50/1 HayadhClass 2 Handicap over a Mile
The last 7 winners of this race
All had at least 13 career starts
Horses with under 4 career runs
Have a 0-12 record in this race
Go back to 2000
Horses with 9st 5lbs or more
Have a poor 1-51 record
Stay with horses aged 4-5-6
Horses aged 7 or more since 1999
Have a 0-64 record
Horses aged 6 have a 4-88 record
All 4 of them were exposed horses
3 were seasonal debutants
One ran in Dubai 3 weeks ago
4 year olds won 8 of the last 13 renewals
Your 4yo should be Mal
Ideally have between 4 and 20 starts
Should be a seasonal debutant
But not absent over 7 months
Not from a 3yo handicap
Apprentice Jockeys had a 1-81 record
5lbs and 7lbs claimers are 0-42
Go back 20 years to 1997
No winners came from Class 4-5-6 last time
Horses from Listed/Group races struggled
They have an overall 1-67 record
In the last 14 years they were 0-46
The Draw is complicated
Most people say either the lowest few stalls
Or the highest few stalls are best
the last 3 winners drawn 15 20 22
Going back to 2006
Horses drawn 4-11 have a 1-80 record
11 renewals since 2005
10 of the 11 winners rated between 95-105
The last 4 winners rated 102 100 100 100
No horse has won absent 239 + days
Horses that came from 9f or more
Won 6 of the last 12 renewals