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Mar 03 2018 @ 15:36
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 6 years, 1 month ago
CHELMSFORD 8.15
11/4 Desert Fox, Pulsating, 5/1 Bernie’s Boy,
13/2 Strategic Heights, 8/1 Deeds Not Words,
10/1 Mr Potter, The Lacemaker, 16/1 It Must Be Faith.6F Handicap
PULSATING has been very busy
Running consistently well for a while
I think he is a big runner here
He has a recent run 9 days ago
On his Racing Post Ratings
That was a joint career best run
He is more than capable of winning againSome of these have flaws
THE LACEMAKER is an underraced filly
With just 1 run in 165 days
IT MUST BE FAITH has 1 run in 293 days
Hardly encouraging he is an 8 year old
STRATEGIC HEIGHTS is a 9yo
Not the force he once was
Never runs a big number these days
Look at his Racing Post Rating
His best number since 2016 is only 71
Many of these have just beaten that
DEEDS NOT WORDS is not running well
He is 0-11 between January and April
Suggests this is not his time of year
MR POTTER has the longest absence
He has never won in this class before
He has never won over this trip before
His 6f numbers are not good enough
I can only shortlist 3 horsesBERNIES BOY
DESERT FOX
PULSATINGPULSATING was my prefered option
And I’d happily go each way at 5/2
But I liked DESERT FOX as well on tape
I am drawn to the 4 year olds
That top the weights
So playing it one of two waysOption 1
PULSATING 5/2
Each Way
Option 2
£7 Win Bet DESERT FOX 4/1
£3 Win Bet PULSATING 5/2I prefer Option 1 myself
Both horses prone to false starts
There is a slim margin for error
Option 1 my choice as the selection