-
Jan 04 2018 @ 10:39
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 6 years, 2 months ago
WOLVERHAMPTON 2.25
3/1 Surrey Blaze, 5/1 Authentic Art, 6/1 Freebe Rocks,
7/1 Progressive Jazz, 8/1 Haven’s View, 10/1 Dashing Dusty,
10/1 Prince Consort, Trick Shot Jenny, 16/1 Dragon Tattoo,
16/1 Headwear, 25/1 Mops Tango, 33/1 Rose Of Shiraz.3yo Handicap over a mile
Lots of horses here with absences
The 2 market leaders have long breaks
SURREY BLAZE has 136 days off
AUTHENTIC ART has 104 days offIf you go back to 2010
34 of these races
All the Male horses that won
Ran within 90 days
I don’t think you can rule out a debutant
But they don’t have that good a recordThe only reason I am doing this race
One horse is fitter than all the othersPROGRESSIVE JAZZ has that advantage
He offers a bitter sweet profile hereHe has the most recent run
He has the most recent runs
I think he is the fittest horse
OI made him a saver last time outThe Bitter side of this bet
He was beaten 13 lengths just 6 days ago
Statistically that kills his profile
I should not select him because of that
But he was given a ridiculous ride that day
He was drawn 12 of 12 at Southwell
Came out slowly and was in last place
He was detached from the others
Then he quickly got to the front
Then proceeded to lead the race
Ran his race far too early
And had nothing left to give
If you blame that run on poor tactics
Then you have a fit and in form horseI saved on him last time
As I had been watching him for a while
3 runs ago he went off too quickly
2 runs ago he didn’t stay 10 furlongs
Last time he got a very strange ride
I may be wrong and overestimating him
But I do like betting the fittest horses
And he does look to be that in this raceSelection
PROGRESSIVE JAZZ (Each Way) at 6/1 with Ladbrokes, Boylesports or BetBright who will all give you a welcome free bet to get you started.