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Dec 29 2017 @ 14:01
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 6 years, 3 months ago
SOUTHWELL 3.00
3/1 Satchville Flyer, Scotch Myst, 5/1 Declamation,
5/1 Dusty Bin, 7/1 Clergyman, Racing Angel,
20/1 Hugie Boy, 25/1 Gettin’ Lucky,6f Classified Stakes race
SATCHVILLE FLYER is interesting
I have twice opposed him over 8f
I’m not even sure he stays 7 furlongs
I’ve been waiting for him to drop in tripThe problem is he drops 2 furlongs
That can sometimes be a big problem
Statistically I can’t answer that query
Just not enough similar races aroundThe horses I can not bet
DECLAMATION has raced once since July
I want more for a 7 year old
DUSTY BIN has had 186 days off
HUGIE BOY isn’t scoring high enough
And with 4 runs in 2017 not convinced
CLERGYMAN has 261 days off
GETTING LUCKY is up in distance
Don’t see him coping with some of these
RACING ANGEL is a mare from 5f
That puts me off her right away
So does poor recent numbers as well
And a trainer without a winner yetShortlist
SCOTCH MYST
SATCHVILLE FLYERSATCHVILLE FLYER is my choice
He has placed in his last 2 races
Over a distance I didn’t think he stayed
So giving him a chance back in tripOption 1 was an each way bet
Option 2 was a win bet and saver
Satchville Flyer to win
Scotch Myst the saver
50-50 Call
I wanted to go e/w
But the fact he drops 2f
And 3 year olds score best
I decided to go win/saverSelection
£7 Win Bet SATCHVILLE FLYER 4/1
£3 Win Bet SCOTCH MYST 5/2