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Dec 27 2017 @ 22:17
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 6 years, 3 months ago
FUTURE BETTING ANGLES
Just a quick look at yesterday
Some of the performances done
With a view to Cheltenham in MarchBUVEAU D’AIR
Won easily at Kempton easily
I was very impressed with that
Had some worries about the race
That was exactly what I wantedFaugheen will be a 10yo in March
Sea Pigeon won as a 10yo in 1980
He followed up as an 11yo in 1981
Hattons Grace did the same thing
Winning aged 10 and 11 in 1951/2
No other horses aged 10 or more
Have ever won a Champion Hurdle
Since the race started back in 1927
It is all about Opinions mine is this
BUVEAU D’AIR will beat Faugheen
This is another reason why he will
FAUGHEEN will be a 10yo in MarchRacing Post Hurdle Ratings
Since 2005
Horses aged 10 or more170 Hurricane Fly
168 Hurricane Fly
167 Rooster Booster
165 My Tent Or Yours – Reve De Sivola
165 Celestial Halo
164 Barracouda
163 Brave Inca – Hardy Eustace – Hardy Eustace
162 Reve De Sivola – Sublimity
161 Captain Cee Bee – It Takes Time
160 Rock On Ruby – Big Buck’s – Petit Robin
160 Tidal Bay – Harchibald
160 Rooster Booster – BarracoudaThe very best 10 year olds
In the last 12 years
Over any hurdle distance
Are in the above table
HURRICANE FLY 170 was the best
Only 1 horse aged 10 in that time
Has managed a 170 rating
BUVEUA D’AIR has twice beaten that
And he will only be a 7yo next seasonFOOTPAD
Very impressive in Ireland
Now 2/1 favourite for the Arkle
How Good is he ?His Racing Post Rating yesterday was 162
So his 2 Chase runs so far –
Racing Post Ratings of 155 and 162Arkle Chase Winners
Their Racing Post Chase Ratings
At the end of December that season(2016) Douvan 153 170
(2017) Altior 160 169 167
(2013) Simonsig 145 167
(2010) Sizing Europe 132 163 156 165
(2018) FOOTPAD 155 162
(2012) Sprinter Sacre154 162
(2015) Un De Sceaux 149 151
(2011) Captain Chris 150 147FOOTPAD is middle table of past winners
At this stage of his career
He has achieved more than some
But 4 of the last 8 Arkle Winners
Had acheieved more than him
At this stage of the seasonThat tells me he still has a bit to prove
And that there is no hurry to take the 2/1
Especially as his trainer is hard to read
And more than capable of switching races