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Oct 04 2017 @ 13:38
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 6 years, 5 months ago
Future Betting Angles
Champion Hurdle 2018
Cheltenham March
BUVEUR DAIR 7/2 – 4/1
4/1 Bet365 Spbet Betbright
7/2 Skybet Betfred PPower ToteToo early to confirm him as a selection
But I backed Buveur D’Air yesterday
To make sure I couldn’t lose if he wonBeen a while since a repeat winner
But over the years many have done this
It’s a brilliant race for duplicate winnersBUVEUR DAIR is top class
On Racing Post Ratings
He was the best hurdler around last year
He has a Racing Post Hurdle Rating of 171
His Nearest rival has a rating of just 168He won the 2017 Champion Hurdle
He did that in a Racing Post Rating of 170
The same rating as Faugheen in 2015
Far better than Annie Powers 162 in 2016
BUVEUR DAIR is an above average ChampionIf he defends his crown he could be very short
So he should be in such a weak divisionNicky Henderson could send him Chasing
Just as he did last year
That would be a disaster for our bet
But he says he will run in the Fighting Fifth
That suggests he is staying over hurdles
As a Champion Hurdler he will delay fencesWe should bet BUVEUR DAIR now
Take the 7/2 and 4/1 even to small stakes
There looks little credible opposition
And the race is under 6 months away !Champion Hurdle Betting
Buveur Dair (4) Defi Du Seuil (8) Faugheen (8)
Douvan (12) Yorkhill (12) Apples Jade (20)
Labaik (20) Limini (20) Min (20) Identity Thief (25)
Lami Serge (25) Melon (25) Petit Mouchoir (25)
Wicklow Brave (25) Arctic Fire (33) Bacardys (33)
Bapaume (33) nCharli Parcs (33)DEFI DU SEUIL will be a 5 year old next year
And age that hardly ever wins the Champion
His best Rating is 150 some 20lbs behindFAUGHEEN will be a 10 year old at Cheltenham
Far too old the last winner that old back in 1981
Besides that he is unraced in 21 months nowDOUVAN surely isn’t going to run
The same applies to LABAIKL’AMI SERGE has already moved up to 3m +
APPLES JADE and LIMINI don’t scare me
They both ran in the Mares hurdle last year
Probably will again and neither have our classMIN is W W over fences
Why would he suddenly go back hurdling
IDENTITY THIEF could revert to fencesMELON could develop into a threat
YORKHILL will be if he runs
But he’d have multiple festival options
His last 4 runs were over fences
More chance of him running in a Gold CupPETIT MOUCHOIR was 3rd last year
Needs to improve and very beatableBUVEUR D’AIR finds him Champion
In a division that is thin to the bone
His main market dangers make no appeal
In a race thats only 5 months awayIt would make sense right now
To take a bit of 4/1 and 7/2
As he could be very short on the day