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Sep 14 2017 @ 18:37
Mathematician posted an update in the group Horse Racing 6 years, 6 months ago
FUTURE BETTING ANGLES
Ante Post Statistics
Doncaster 1.50 Saturday
Portland Handicap
Class 2 handicap over 5.5fThe Draw
The last 15 winners had the following draws
12 10 15 12 21 15 16 18 21 5 5 13 15 20 9 8 7
Avoid horses drawn 1-2-3-4
The last 15 years they are 0-60Absence
Since 2002 every Portland winner
Ran within the previous 42 days
Horses absent longer are unsafe
Horses absent more tha 28 days
Won 2 races but had just 6 -7 runs
Horses with 8 or more career starts
Absent more than 28 days
Have a 0-75 record since 2002Age
Avoid 3 year olds
In the last 15 seasons they are 0-41
Horses aged 4 are 5 are best
Horses aged 6 have a 0-50 record4 Year olds
Horses aged 4 won 4 races since 2002
They had 9 7 17 18 career starts
They had 4 3 6 9 runs that season
They had absences of 24 42 24 18 days
They won from ratings of 128 133 124 126
They won from Draws of 12 5 12 14
4 year olds won last time out are 0-18
4 year olds with over 18 runs are 0-28
They all came from Class 2 handicaps
Those from lower grades were 0-155 Year olds
Horses aged 5 won 6 races since 2002
They had 24 19 6 8 20 31 career starts
They had 6 3 5 5 4 8 runs that season
They had absences of 19 28 7 35 28 15 days
They won from ratings of 101 97 97 96 100 95
They won from Draws of 14 20 19 6 17 14Older Horses
Horses aged 6 or more are 4-121
Since 2005 they are only 1-82
Horses aged 6 or more from 5f races
Absent more than 3 days have a 0-59 recordFillies
Fillies have a 1-58 record in this race
The only winner a 4yo filly in 2013Weight
Lighter weights struggle
Go back to 2002
Horses with 8st 10lbs or less
Have a 0-57 record in 14 renewalsRatings
Horses rated 102 or more
Have a 1-42 record since 2002
The only winner (Steps) ran 3 days beforeMiscellaneous
Avoid horses with 1-2 runs that season
Horses from Pattern races were 1-35
The only winner ran 3 days beforehand
Without a very recent run I’d be sceptical
No winners came from 7f or 8f races
No winner won beaten 12+ Lengths last time10 of the last 11 winners
Shared this basic profile
Horses aged 4 or 5
Running within 6 weeks
Beaten under 7 lengths last time
Coming from Class 2-3 races
8st 11lbs or more